Horse Whispers

Luca Cumani sends an interesting runner to Doncaster on Friday, and we reckon the underlying stats suggest that Pleasant Surprise could be ready for a big run.

Cumani has a history of getting the best out of horses when running them for the first time under a new handicap code - so the switch up to 1m 3f - bringing him closer to his previous winning mark (1m 4f) could well suit. The 1m 2f trip looked too short last time out at Newbury.

Cumani has a 23% win rate when switching his runners into new handicap codes for a 29pt profit over 144 runs in the past five years.

Pleasant Surprise gets the nod at 5/2 in the 4:10pm at Doncaster.

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