France Women v Iceland Women

France v Iceland could very well be the biggest mismatch of the entire tournament, so Iceland will need to be on their toes to keep the score line down to something sensible.

Iceland topped their group to qualify of course, but it was an extremely lightweight group that contained Scotland, Belarus, Macedonia and Slovenia. Scotland were the pick of that lot probably (and they actually finished joint top on points, only being separated by goal difference for the group).

The other three are ranked 51st, 58th and 104th in the FIFA rankings, and offered very little in truth. France really are up in the elite now, vying with Germany, USA and Canada for the number 1 slot. France are 8-5-6 against Top 5 sides over the past three years, and their record against tops like Iceland is almost perfect.

With Iceland ranked 19th, it seems reasonable to look at the French sides record against sides ranked around 11th-27th (8 places either side in the rankings), and that's shows a 16-2-2 dominance, which has seen them net 2.35 goals per game for the cost of just 0.5 goals on average.

It's a similar pattern when looking the matches Iceland have played against quality opposition like France. Against the Top 8 in the world (remember France are 3rd), Iceland are 0-1-5 over the three year period, failing to score in all 6, and conceeding 11.

For a bet, the clean sheet looks pretty likely, but at 4/9 it would only be for the biggest hitters. France don't have a long history for absolutely thumping their opponents of this sort of standard, so don't expect a cricket score. In our sample of French wins, five of the 20 game by a 3-0 scoreline, and that seems more than plausible, so gets the nod in this one.

France to win 3-0 against Iceland at 5/1 with Will Hill

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