Northern Ireland v Czech Republic

Continuing our weekend theme of looking at the international fixtures through Elo tinted spectacles, we run through the Monday World Cup qualifiers.

It's served us well so far, calling Wales (5/4) and Estonia (9/5) from our four selections thus far, so we'll persevere with the approach.

One of the stand out performers on Monday's ratings are Northern Ireland, and the market really appears to be under-rating Michael O'Neill's side when they face the Czech Republic on Monday night.

Northern Ireland have kept six clean sheets from their opening seven group games, and that firm foundation has allowed them a platform to strike in this qualifying campaign. Only Germany have been able to beat them thus far, so it's a surprise to see them ranked as the outsider in this match with some bookmakers.

The likes of Jonny Evans, Gareth McAuley and Steve Davis have been pivotal over recent years, and the team O'Neill has built has been greater than the sum of it's parts. For that reason, we can't ignore the 15/8 on offer with Betfair about a home win here.

2pts Northern Ireland to beat Czech Republic

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