Championship Best Bets

QPR have let us down a few times this season, but we’re going to give them another chance when they face Wolves at Loftus Road. They haven’t won in seven now, which would be enough to put most people off, but that’s allowed a generous looking 13/5 to be chalked up by BlackType and the shot data recently suggests we should be playing at that price.

They won the shot count 15-13 at Bolton but shared the points, dominated at Sunderland 17-9 in a match which also ended up all square, and lost to Fulham despite winning the shot count 25-12. Before that they went 13-5 against Burton and shared the points. In short, they’ve been really unlucky this season and should be much further up the table than they are right now.

Wolves are a great side this season, and we won’t try to argue anything on the contrary. This bet is all about the price, and QPR should be a fair bit shorter than the 13/5 available right now - probably closer to 7/4 or 2/1 in our view.

1pt QPR to beat Wolves at 13/5

In Norwich and Derby we have two very well organised and improving sides. Both look reliable at the back and this match is unlikely to produce a goals glut as a result. Derby’s last five matches have produced a total of just eight goals, and they have now kept three clean sheets in a row. That’s taken their count of “Under 2.5 Goals” matches to eight from 12 this campaign.

Norwich have a very similar trend, with six clean sheets in their last eight Championship matches and nine of their 13 matches have produced two or fewer goals. There is every chance to expect this to follow the same sort of pattern, so we’ll push at Under 2.5 Goals and also have a cheeky dabble on the “No Goal Scorer” option.

2pts Under 2.5 Goals in Norwich v Derby at 4/5 (Sky Bet)

1pt No Goalscorer in Norwich v Derby at 9/1 (Sky Bet)

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