League One Best Bets

If there is one side in the division who is worse than Northampton, it's Gillingham, so any thoughts about a mini revival at Sixfields is probably rather premature, so it's surprising to see Blackpool available at 13/8 for the trip to Northampton.

The Cobblers have already lost five of their seven at home this campaign, condeeding 14 goals along the way, and the only explanation around the price could be found in Blackpool's struggles on the road this season. It's worth noting though that they have already travelled to Wigan, Bradford and Scunthorpe among a crop of difficult away days.

Prior to beating Gillingham, Northampton were winless in nine and their only two other successes came immediately after the arrival of Hasselbaink. The honeymoon is well and truly over and the bickering is threatening to ruin things for the not-so-happy couple now.

2pts Blackpool to beat Northampton at 13/8

Oxford are at Fleetwood looking to maintain their strong recent form, and odds of 15/8 with Bet365 look more than appealing in this one. The U's have already won at Oldham, Stevenage, Peterbrough and Bristol Rovers and are unbeaten in six now.

While Fleetwood are just a couple of points behind Oxford, it's arguable that the two sides have been enjoying differing doses of luck recently - Oxford notably should have taken all three points against Rotherham last week after dominating the match, but had to settle for a draw, while Fleetwood got off lightly with a 1-0 reversal at Shrewsbury in a match they failed to muster a shot on target in.

We also fancy goals in this match - 11 of Fleetwood's last 13 have seen at least three goals, and seven of those got at least four. Nine of Oxford's last 11 have seen three+ and five of those reached four or more.

Over 2.5 Goals can be backed at 6/5 and that looks massive in our eyes.

1pt Oxford to beat Fleetwood at 15/8

3pts Over 2.5 Goals in Oxford v Fleetwood at 6/5

We head to Bristol Rovers v MK Dons to round off our League One picks, and Bristol Rovers don't look to have got the run of the green recently.

They are on a three match losing streak after losing to Rochdale, Shrewsbury and Oxford, but two of those matches actually saw them win the shot counts so the outcomes may well have been different on another day. Had they won two of those, we'd be talking about a team with five wins in seven games and they wouldn't be going off at odds-against versus a side as poor as MK Dons. It's also a game with goals in it - 14 of Bristol Rovers' 19 have gone over 2.5 this season, and who can forget the 4-4 draw between MK Dons and Oldham last week!?

1pt Bristol Rovers to beat MK Dons at Evens

1pt Over 2.5 Goals at Bristol Rovers v MK Dons at 4/5

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