Las Palmas v Deportivo

We tipped up Celta Vigo to take advantage of a suspect Las Palmas defence a fortnight ago for a Monday night match and the outcome was a 5-2 win for the visitors. Since then Las Palmas have conceeded a further five over two games and they don't look any more coherent for those matches.

Las Palmas games so far this season have produced 5,4,7,3,2,1,1,4,6,1 goals so far. An average of 3.4 goals per match. Deportivo have been just as entertaining - their record reads 5,3,0,3,5,1,3,6,4,3 - and average of 3.3.

Neither side has worked out how to shut up at the back - they have just two clean sheets between them all season in fact, so there are plenty of reasons for looking forward to a good game. Sky Sports are there of course, albeit behind the red button, so it's sure to be worth tuning in for this one.

Our shots model makes the Over 2.5 goals an 8/15 shot, so with 8/11 available on the Betfair Exchange and with their Sportsbook, it has to be worth a shot, while we'll also try the Over 3.5 Goals at 2/1 with William Hill

1pt Over 2.5 Goals at 8/11 (Betfair)

1pt Over 3.5 Goals at 2/1 (Will Hill)

#Football