ATP World Tour Finals - Wednesday

Monday and Tuesday saw us deliver tips at 4/1 and 11/2 based on predicting who we believed would open the match serving. Whilst neither bet landed, we should be confident in the approach, as we correctly predicted the server for the first game in both, suggesting the methodology is sound enough on the evidence so far.

As so we go again on Wednesday, as David Goffin meets Grigor Dimitrov. The Bulgarian always elects to take the balls at the start of the first serve, while the Belgian will invariably give them away, so on this quick surface we'll be looking for Dimitrov to prevail 6-3 at attractive odds of 5/1. It's simply astonishing that every layer in the market considers the 6-4 scoreline more likely (9/2), when you consider that Dimitrov has won 17 1st sets this seaon 6-3 to just three 6-4!

1pt Dimitrov to win the 1st Set 6-3 at 5/1 (General)

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