The Championship - Best Bets

We'll start at Fulham, where a goal shy Barnsley can play their part in a game of few goals. Paul Heckingbottom's side have been struggling to score of late, which has been the root cause of their run of seven games without a win. The Tykes have failed to score in five of their last six, and the one game where they did register saw them lose 3-1 to bottom of the table Bolton.

It's fair to say they would be happy with a point from this trip, and it's something they may have a shot at if Fulham struggle to penetrate given the lack of goals at Craven Cottage this season. Fulham have played 12 matches at the Cottage this season, and all but two have featured two or fewer goals.

Twice Fulham have won 1-0 and five have ended 1-1. It's tempting to back the 1-1 given those stats, but Barnsley's problems in front of goal appear serious, so we're going to back the 1-0 at 17/2 in this, as well as backing Under 2.5 at the frankly ridiculous 6/4 with Betfair.

1pt Fulham to win 1-0 at 17/2

4pts Under 2.5 Goals at 6/4

Our second bet in the division comes at Derby, and goes against our standard statistical ratings. The ratings have the bookmakers prices about right, but our feel here is the away form of Millwall could be crucial to the outcome of the match.

The Lions have played 12 matches away from home this season, drawing six and losing six - it's a polar opposite of their home consistency and doesn't bode well for a trip to the hugely in-form Derby.

The Rams have now won nine of their last 12 in the Championship and kept clean sheets in five of their last six, so will be a particularly tough nut to crack this weekend, while their seven home wins from 10 matches through the course of the season is another reason to believe Gary Rowett can continue his excellent managerial record.

3.3pts Derby to beat Millwall at 10/11

#Football