Premier League - 3pms

We'll start down on the south coast, were Eddie Howe's Bournemouth have made an astonishingly quick turnaround from what was beginning to look a dire situation just a few short weeks ago.

Just three weeks ago, Sporting Index were projecting the Cherries to finish on 37 points, yet wins against Arsenal and Chelsea, and away points at West Ham and Brighton has seen that jump to 43 points - a huge difference come the end of the season of course.

Howe's side have now collected 12 points in six league games so should relish this home match against Stoke, who don't yet appear to have exploded into action following the appointment of Paul Lambert.

Our model makes Bournemouth a strong bet in this one - and we'd be closer to 4/6 than the 10/11 generally on offer on the hosts in this one.

2.2pts Bournemouth to beat Stoke at 10/11

West Brom v Southampton looks an ideal candidate for a draw at a tasty looking 9/4. Just five points split Bournemouth in 10th from Swansea in 19th, and the prevelance of draws between sides outside the Big Six is at an all time high - its currently running at 35% for the season after 119 matches.

West Brom have drawn six of their eight at home to sides outside the top six, while for Southampton the statistic is four of their six away matches have ended up all square.

9/4 is quite long enough to chance another stalemate here, and is worth a couple of points.

2pts West Brom v Southampton to be a Draw

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