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Serie A - Quick Picks

  • Writer: Dave Pilgrim
    Dave Pilgrim
  • Feb 4, 2018
  • 2 min read

With an hour until kick-off, we'll keep things brief.

Bologna look decent value at 5/2 with Bet Victor ahead of their match with Fiorentina given then have home advantage in this one. Only a point splits the sides as we get into the second half of the season, and it looks more down to variable chance that the hosts have collects more points away from home than they have in front of their own fans.

Their last three at home have seen them beat Benevento 3-0, lost 2-1 to Udinese and lost 3-0 to Juventus, and Fiorentina come here having won just one of the last seven away trips.

Losing 4-1 to Verona last time out, and 3-1 to Sampdoria prior to that suggest weaknesses at the back, and the price just looks too long on the hosts in this one.

1pt Bologna to beat Fiorentina at 5/2 (VCBEt)

Our other fancy are another home side, where we reckon the 27/10 on offer about Udinese is too long for their match with AC Milan.

Udinese currently sit 10th in the division with 32 points and a +4 goal difference. That's a couple of points worse off than Milan, who themselves have a level goal difference, so it's clear over the course of 22 games, there hasn't been a great gulf in quality. We've seen enough that the luck factor should more or less have ironed itself out by now.

Udinese have also lost just one league match (3-0 at Lazio) in their last nine outings, and look confident in front of their own fans.

Milan have been in decent form lately, but they aren't good enough to justify being close to even money, and we'll put out money on the hosts ending Sunday above Milan in the table.

1pt Udinese to beat Milan at 27/10 (VCBet)

 
 
 

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