Burnley v Everton

This match is huge. Make no mistake. A home win would all but kill off Everton's dreams of making the top seven, and claiming the valuable final Europa League spot that comes with it. Similar is true for Burnley of course, and with Leicester ticking along so nicely now, they really need to make the most of every winnable home game from now until the end of the season.

Starting with the hosts, a quick check on the form shows them without a win in 12, and with a win in front of their home fans in seven. However, they are just emerging from a horrible run of fixtures and Sean Dyche will be looking ahead to the spring and will be confident his side might yet make enough to get start booking flights for a European adventure.

The five wins without a home win can easily be explained, after defeats to Spurs, Liverpool and Man United were followed up with 1-1 draws against Man City and Southampton.

When talking about winnable games, Dyche will certainly include this one in the list - Everton have lost their last five away matches, at the hands of Bournemouth, Liverpool Spurs, Arsenal and Watford, and won just twice in 11 themselves.

This is going to be tight, make no mistake - 12 of Burnley's 14 at home this season have gone Under 2.5 Goals, but Burnley have the motivation, and the fact that Everton have won just once in 22 away Premier League games now suggest Burnley can do enough. Four of Burnley's five wins this season have come by a solo goal.

2pts Under 1.5 Goals at 7/4 (Will Hill)

1pt Burnley to win 1-0 at 6/1 (Will Hill)

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