National Hunt Chase

This one if for the stayers - raced over 4 miles, and eyes turn to the amateurs for this one.

Trends

- The race has only been won once by a five or six year old in the last 28 years (from 77 runs)

- 9 of the last 12 winners have been aged seven or eight

- 10 of the last 13 winners had run over fences three or four times previously.

- Jonjo O'Neill loves this one, training four winners in the past 14 years.

- 11 of the last 16 winners finished 1st or 2nd LTO

- 5 of the last 7 winners were rated 146 or more

Our Picks

This is a race which tends to see the classier horses come to the fore, and despite last year's renewal being won by a 16/1 poke, that was the longest priced winner in a decade. We should therefore look towards the top of the market, and there isn't much to dislike about the favourite Jury Duty.

He is a superb jumper, stays well enough to see off most of his rivals on what will be a real test of stamina, and has arguably the best jockey aboard in JJ Codd. He'll be happy to sit out the first few miles out at the back, which in a race which could see a fair few bumps and falls may be no bad thing. With form figures of 12122 this season he's certainly a strong form horse as well, and out to 6/1 looks a play now, with Paddy Power paying 4 places at 1/5 odds.

We'll also back Ms Parfois, who ticks a few of the trend boxes niccely. She has won three of her last four starts over fences, is well rated (146) and looks the right sort of profile for a winner of this event. She's turned in form figures of 31112 this season and should take the ground nicely. Will Biddicks mount has also won around here previously and will stay all day.

1pt e/w Jury Duty at 6/1

1pt e/w Ms Parfois at 7/1

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