Premier League - Best Bets

Six matches to get through before the tea-time meeting which could decide the title in the Manchester Derby, but at the other end things are just as important for those sides in action given how close things are in the bottom half.

You know the drill by now! We are focussing on finding the most likely draws in the Premier League at this stage. 33% of matches played between sides outside the top 6 have ended in draws this season (down slightly over recent weeks), so identifying decent fits about 2/1 makes sense.

This week we have four, which sits nicely for a Lucky 15 bonus! A single winner pays treble odds with Betfred

Brighton v Huddersfield at 5/2

West Brom v Swansea at 11/5

Bournemouth v Crystal Palace at 5/2

Leicester v Newcastle at 5/2

0.5pt Lucky 15 with Betfred = 7.5pts

Brighton haven't seen a lot of draws recently, but they've obliged quite frequently when the criteria of Premier League match versus non-big-six team is applied. That's seen them draw five of the last 11. Huddersfield have drawn four of their last 11 on the same metric.

West Brom is as much about Darren Moore taking over and the chance they experience a slight bounce. A change in management signals an acceptance that the season is over at West Brom in our view, and the pressure may have eased for this one. Swansea may not find this an easy game.

Bournemouth have drawn six from 10 against bottom 14 sides, while Palace have drawn eight from 15. Some stats there and this is probably the strongest of the four with both sides still looking over their shoulders a little.

Finally, to make up the Lucky 15, Leicester v Newcastle. The Foxes have drawn three from five from the qualifying criteria, and it's five from eight for Newcastle.

Let's see how we get on.

#Football