France v Peru

France look likely to go off as 8/15 favourites against Peru - a price that feels overly short after the opening exchanges in the group.

Let's consider those opening match stats first. Peru of course missed a vital penalty on the stroke of half time against Denmark, registed 14 shots on goal versus just eight against, and 6 on target versus just 3 against. They had 52% possession as well. Ultimately they lost the game, but a draw or a win would have been equally likely.

Elsewhere, France we playing Australia - a side lacking in any real obvious quality and a rout may have been expected by some. The French won the Shots on Target count 5-1, so probably deserved their win, but it was far from a dominant performance and given all the doubts we mentioned in our Group C preview, are far from sure about the short prices on them beating Peru in this one.

Christian Cueva has six goals in his last 24 starts for Peru, and the 13/2 quotes available on him scoring at anytime certainly feel long based on that.

It's also hard to ignore the 2.68 on offer on the exchanges about Peru with a goal headstart here. That bet wins if they win or draw and you're betting at 13/8 after any commission. It's more than fair against a side with plenty to prove still before being considered serious campaigners in Russia.

1pt Christian Cueva to score anytime at 13/2 (Bet365)

1pt Peru +1 to win at 2.68 (Betfair)

#Football