Belgium v Tunisia

Group G looks all rather predictable after wins for England and Belgium earlier in the week, and the favourites should be more than capable of defeating Tunisia in this one.

For all the frustrations of the second half, and the leaving it late, the truth is England dominated Tunisia on Monday. 15 shots on goal v 5 shots for the Tunisians, 9 on target (versus 1), 60% possession. It could have been far easier had the referee controlled the hands-on defending of Harry Kane.

So forward back to this game, and Belgium should make lightwork of the African side.

As we covered in the opening preview, Romelu Lukaku is simply a flat track bully. He scores against weak sides with consumate ease and can do so again on Saturday. Let's update and recap on those stats.

His overall record reads 41 goals in 70 games for Belgium, but more recent history has seen him move into elite goalscoring stats. It's 27 goals in his last 28 now, and 15 in his last 10! And when we recall these sides he's scored against in that run of ten matches, the likes of Gibraltar, Greece, Cyprus, Mexico, Japan, Saudi Arabia, Egypt, Costa Rica and Panama have all bee undone by Lukaku. At 10/11 he is surely worth backing once again, while he's also the subject of a tasty looking price boost at 6/1.

A slightly different angle comes in the corners market, where we reckon the (-4) on the handicap could still represent value for Belgium. It made up 9-3 against Panama, and they won recent corner counts 9-1 v Costa Rica, 8-2 against Egypt, 6-2 against Portugal, 11-6 against Saudi Arabia. They lost 4-3 versus Japan, but won 6-1 v Mexico, 6-2 v Cyprus and 8-5 at Bosnia.

3.3pts Lukaku to score at anytime at 10/11

1pt Lukaku to score a brace at 6/1

2.2pts Belgium (-4) on the Corner Handicap at 10/11

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