Arminia Bielefeld v FC Koln

Dropping down to the Bundesliga 2 makes sense on Friday night, where we beleive Arminia Bielefeld represent great value at 11/4 to beat Cologne.

The visitors were relegated from the top flight last season of course, but have responded well, and top the division after the opening seven matches. The shot data suggests that probably a little better than they might reasonably expect - they have scored 18 and conceded 11, but have only managed marginally more shots than their opponents over that period.

Bielefeld finished 4th in the division last season, and occupy the same position thus far. They certainly merit that slot, with 11 goals scored and 10 against flattering their opponents so far. Bielefeld have dominated plenty of their matches, and have already played the likes of Hamburg and Union Berlin. The seven sides they have played so far this season have a combined goal difference of +6,. Cologne have played more modest opponents, whose combined goal difference weighs in at -5 after seven games.

1pt Arminia Bielefeld to beat Cologne at 11/4 (Bet365)

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