Georgia v Kazakhstan

Just one match jumps out as offering a little value in Monday's Nations League matches, and that's Georgia versus Kazakhstan.

We like the hosts here who would love to underline their position at the summit of Group D1 with another victory over Kazakhstan. They are flying right now, with eight wins and two draws from their last 11 international outings over the past year. That really is the stuff of dreams for Georgia, who are loving the mix-up which has allowed them to play winnable competitive games more frequently than has even been the case before. It's also worth noting that in that run they have won each of those eight wins without conceding a goal.

Looking at Georgia's last four qualifying campaigns for the World Cup and European Championships, they have achieved just a 16% win rate, and a -21 goal difference over 38 matches. That doesn't sound great, but it compares really favourably with Kazakhstan, who have won just 7.5% of their matches over the same period, and have a -64 goal difference over their 40 matches.

Things have looked up in 2018 of course, with three wins, three draws and just two defeats, but there could be a gulf between these two and we are siding strongly with the hosts.

2.2pts Georgia to beat Kazakhstan at 3/4

2pts Georgia to win to Nil at 8/5

1pt Georgia to win (-1) on the handicap at 2/1

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