Eibar v Levante

We don't put up too many odds-on shots, but Eibar leap off the page ahead of their home match against Levante. Casual punters might well look at the league table - Eibar in 14th and Levante in 7th and wonder what we are thinking, but the shot data suggests things could quite reasonably look very different indeed.

Our basic shots data tells a really interesting story for a start off - Eibar have a postive 197-118 shot ratio (62.5%), while Levante are a much less impressive 171-289 (37.1%) ratio.

There are signs that Eibar may be a little trigger happy, as their on-target ratio drops to 52% (59-54), but they are still significantly better than Levante's 59-93 (38.8%).

The well respected Understat.com don't paint quite such a negative picture on their data, but they still suggest Levante have over achieved by around five points, while Eibar should be a point or two better off. Other have things somewhere between the two.

You know us - the shot data is always king, and we reckon the form lines could be reversed in this one, and are backing Eibar to prevail.

1.5pts Eibar to beat Levante at 5/6

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