Fulham v Wolves

Fulham host Wolves at Craven Cottage on Boxing Day, and we reckon Wolves might not be getting the respect they deserve for a side who are averaging over 60% expected goals ratio over the first 18 games of the season. They are absolutely capable of mixing up the order at the top against the big-boys if they can get on a little run, and almost every performance metric puts them above Manchester United this season. You wouldn't be getting 13/8 about the Red Devils in this fixture.

United were odds on at Southampton, West Ham, Watford, Burnley and Brighton for example.

Wolves are pretty much at full strength for this one - only Diego Jota is on the treatment table, while there is a slight chance Fulham could be without Ryan Sessengon who has missed the last two outings.

Fulham have won just one of their last 13 matches, losing nine of those by 2+ goals, and they created a shockingly low 0.25 expected goals against Newcastle last week.

Understat.com actually suggest that based on expected points, Wolves might reasonably expect to be in fifth in the table, and while Fulham have been unfortunate a few times this season, they are rightfully considered relegation fodder.

1pt Wolves to beat Fulham at 13/8 (General)

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