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World Darts-Day 13-Afternoon

  • Writer: Dave Pilgrim
    Dave Pilgrim
  • Dec 27, 2018
  • 2 min read

Nathan Aspinall v Devon Petersen

Both players have done tremendously well to be in the pot at this stage, and it's fantastic than one of them will be playing in the quarter-finals - and with Brendan Dolan or Benito van de Pas awaiting the winner of that one, a semi-final spot is very possible indeed.

Both men have taken scalps along the way, but Aspinall stands out after beating Gerwyn Price in the second round. We've backed the PDC Pro Tour player twice already this tournament, and his numbers suggest we should do the same in this one.

He is significantly more likely to win his legs in 15 darts or fewer (60% v 35%) and that could make a massive difference when set-play keeps things tight. He should always have an opportunity to nick the odd leg, and shouldn't be too vulnerable on his throw. Over the course of the year there has been a mile between them - expect that to continue.

With the format up to best of 7 now, shocks are starting to become less likely, so we are going to back Aspinall for the match and also get with him on the handicap for a bigger price.

On the 180s front, we have nothing between the pair (0.21 per leg for Apsinall and 0.20 per leg for Petersen), so we'll also chuck a small dart at Petersen coming out on top of that battle at 9/5.

2pts Aspinall to beat Petersen at 4/6 - Marathon Bet

2pts Aspinall (-1.5 sets) to beat Petersen at 6/5 - General

1pt Petersen to hit most 180s at 9/5 - Betfair

Brendan Dolan v Benito van de Pas

Coming up later.......

Ryan Joyce v James Wade

Ryan Joyce spent his Christmas helping out at an amateur event, and that may well have acted as a calming influence ahead of arguably his biggest match of his career.

It's hard to see any other result than James Wade winning this one really though - the pair have met three times this season, with Wade winning all three by a combined leg result of 18-9.

Nothing really stands out, but it could be worth a small bet on Joyce averaging more than 89.5 with William Hill. Over his last 50 matches he has averaged 90.4, but that rises when playing the big names, and rather than 5/6 on this market I'd be inclined to believe he should top that line marginally. It's only a small bet, but it gives us an interest at what looks a value price.

1.2pts Ryan Joyce to average over 89.5 at 5/6 (Hills)

 
 
 

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