League One - Best Bet

Scunthorpe host Coventry on Saturday with both sides enjoying mini bounces in recent weeks - Scunthorpe winning back-to-back for only the second time this season, and Coventry racking up nine points from their last three outings since Christmas Day.

Over the course of the season, almost all of the performance data suggests Scunthorpe are pretty lucky to be anywhere but bottom of the table. Their Shots in the Box, Expected Goals and Expected Goals from Open Play Ratios are all at the bottom of the scale - each around 36-38% and those are the numbers usually reserved for relegation fodder.

Suggesting that the tide has turned might be a little premature despite those two results at Peterborough and against Wycombe. They won 2-0 at Posh, but the home side had 14 efforts at goal (ultimately failing to hit the target), which Scunthorpe scored with both their efforts on target. It was similar against Wycombe, who came and dominated, but ended up losing 1-0.

Coventry's results have been fairer. They won at Wycombe in a tight match but one which they probably shaded. It was a similar story against Southend, and they dominated Charlton on Boxing Day.

Scunthorpe expect to be without Rory Watson (1st choice keeper), Jordan Clarke in defence, Josh Morris and Matt Lund in midfield and Ryan Colclough up top, while Stephen Humphrys has left the club this week.

Coventry are knocking on the play-off door and odds of 7/5 about the Sky Blues picking up three points here are definitely fair.

1pt Coventry to beat Scunthorpe at 7/5 (Betway,Betfair)

#Football