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BDO - Day 5 - Wednesday Afternoon

  • Writer: Dave Pilgrim
    Dave Pilgrim
  • Jan 9, 2019
  • 2 min read

We've got a brace of mens matches, and a single Ladies match to explore on Wednesday afternoon - kicking off with Wesley Harms v Willem Mandigers.

If I had to pick a match winner bet, it would be underdog Mandigers at the prices - Harms is a fair favourite but I'm not sure I could pitch him as short as 8/15 here. Neither however, am I confident enough to put up the update though!

With the format increased to a first to five, and the very low 180s numbers typically posted by Harms, we'll look to back Mandigers to hit the most 180s. To make the 10/11 offered with Sporting Bet, Bet365 or Betway right, we have to make signifcant adjustment to our expected numbers, and I'd be a good deal shorter. 4/5 is also acceptable in our eyes if and when the price goes.

2pts Mandigers to hit most 180s at 10/11 (BetVictor, Betway)

1pt Mandigers to hit 1st 180 at 4/5 (General)

2pts Under 3.5 Harms 180s at 4/5 (General)

The second mens match sees Michael Unterbuchner tackle Wayne Warren. Last season's surprise semi-finalist has certainly had people talking, and the bookmakers have reacted by making Unterbuchner their 4/6 favourite, but I defintiely have Warren as favourite in this one and we need to get on before the value goes. He's already begun to shorten, but is still 13/10 in a few places and that is worth a play in my view.

In the 180s Warren should have the edge, but enough to make him a 1/2 favourite? I'm not so sure, and the 7/2 on Unterbuchner out-maxing him feels too long. I'd be close to 5/2 in this, so it represents value for a small bet.

1pt Warren to beat Unterbuchner at 11/8 (Spreadex) - 13/10 is aslo acceptable with Bet365, Unibet, Betway.

1pt Unterbuchner to hit most 180s at 7/2 (General)

 
 
 

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