Scottish League One

Dumbarton face Brechin in League One this weekend, and I'm convinced they are one of the bets of the week in any of the divisions around Europe.

On the face of it, it could be tight - Dumbarton are 4-4-4 over their last 12 matches, recording a goal difference of 24-22 (+2) in that spell. Brechin by comparison 5-3-4 and 14-17 (-3).

Dig a bit deeper though, and Brechin look to be overachieving considerably at the moment, while Dumbarton are looking decent.

From their last 12 league games, Dumbarton have recorded a shot count advantage of 150-115. Decent, but not amazing.

Compared to Brechin though, it is positively excellent - they are showing just 84-155 and have not won a single shot count in that spell.

5pts Dumbarton to beat Brechin at 4/5 (General)

#Football