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National League Fancies

  • Writer: Dave Pilgrim
    Dave Pilgrim
  • Apr 27, 2019
  • 2 min read

We fancy a couple of sides in Non-League today, starting at 19/20 Dover Ahtletic. Their season has picked up no-end since Andy Hessenthaler took over in October.

When he arrived they had gone 1-4-10 in the league, and looked like dead-men walking. Now we approach the end of the season, and he has personally achieved 14-8-8 under his tenure - an improvement from 0.46pts per game to 1.66pts per game. Had that been the case from the start of the season they would be well inside the play offs. Only two sides have won at Dover since Christmas.

With Sutton recently posting 2-4-8 in the league, they shouldn't expect to much from this one, and Paul Doswell has finally stepped down permanently after 598 games in charge! They also come into this match with Tommy Wright (13/2), Jamie Collins (30/6) and Craig Eastmod (39/7) definitely ruled out, and doubts around Dale Bennett (41/0), James Dobson (17/2), Dylan Kearney (11/2) and Kenny Davis (31/3).

19/20 is a strong bet on Dover,

4pts Dover to beat Sutton at 19/20 (Ladbrokes, Sporting, Bet Victor)

Elsewhere, Harrogate are expected to make changes for their trip to Wrexham, and I'm confident the home team will improve on the two 0-0 draw's at Harrogate earlier this season, and perhaps match their 2-0 win in the FA Cup instead. So three meetings between the sides so far, and Harrogate are yet to score.

They are expected to rest a number of players here ahead of the play-offs, and it's not before time, with the bulk of their squad already having played most of the matches. They have been fortunate with injuries, meaning nine players have started 30+ league games this season, and a further three have been involved in that number. This game should present a perfect chance for a much needed rest and wholesale changes should be expected.

With a 16-3-3 home record this season, Wrexham are value at 6/5 here.

2.5pts Wrexham to beat Harrogate at 6/5 (General)

 
 
 

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