Liverpool v Leicester

Liverpool are the last team in England with a 100% record this season, and we're backing that record to come to an end when they entertain Leicester City - a side who have started the season in superb form and arguably look significantly stronger despite losing £80m central defensive mountain Harry Maguire over the summer.

For Leicester, Vardy has looked fit and confident, the permanent capture of Youri Tielemans was hugely welcomed, while Caglar Soyuncu has slotted into the gap left by Maguire seamlessly. James Maddison has benefited from a year in the top flight, Dennie Praet looks a solid capture, and they add depth in Ayoze Perez. All in all, they are in a very good place.

It's all well and good saying that, but we're in the business of evidence. Leicester are currently 3rd in the division for shot ratio, 4th for Shots-On-Target Ratio, 3rd for Expected Goal Difference, 2nd for Expected Goal Ratio and 2nd for Shots in the Box Against.

Now Liverpool are a superb side, make no mistake. They need no introductions, but they have played in midweek in a high intensity encounter which saw them fighting to the end, and playing a full-strength team. They have also conceded goals in nine of their 12 matches this season - only MK Dons, Sheffield United and Burnley drawing blanks. That was their strength this season, and they no longer look impregnable.

We'll hear all about Vardy's supreme record against big-six clubs, while Brendan Rodgers would love victory in this one of course.

The numbers stack up for backing the draw here - Leicester are a tempting 15/4 with Bet365.

1pt Liverpool v Leicester to be a draw at 15/4 (Bet365)

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