National League

Full schedule of National League action on Tuesday night, and we’ve been going along very nicely indeed in non-league lately. We have three picks for you this mid-week.

First up is Barrow – who we backed successfully in each of the last two weeks based on very decent shot data indeed. No side in the division has recorded a higher shot ratio this season than Barrow, so it was no surprise at all for us to see them beat table-topping Bromley on Saturday and extend their winning run to six consecutive matches. They look to make it seven against Boreham Wood on Tuesday.

Now I saw ‘Wood play about a month back, and they didn’t look anything remotely special. Their results have been proficient enough however, with five wins and a draw from their last eight matches. Shot wise though, they are a good bit short of the performance levels Barrow have been showing and I’d definitely make Barrow a strong favourite were this match played on a neutral venue, so getting odds-against on the hosts looks extremely big considering what a long trip it is for a Tuesday evening match for Boreham Wood.

Next up we have Eastleigh, who are just a couple of points above Maidenhead but look an altogether better side indeed. After a poor start to the season Ben Streven’s side have now gone 4-3-2 since the end of August. They have scored and conceded in nine of their last ten matches so an entertaining match looks likely.

Maidenhead opened the season with four wins from their opening six matches, but have now not won in seven – losing five of those, and they are now getting the sorts of results their shot-data has been threatening all campaign. With a shot ratio of just 40% this season, Maidenhead ae in real trouble, and we’ll be very happy taking the 1.98 (49/50) from Marathon on a home win here.

Finally, Torquay have adjusted to life back in the National League well since their promotion and are loitering within touching distance of the play-off spots. Only Wrexham (Yes!), Harrogate (Yes!) an Barrow have managed more shots that Torquay this season, with the side from Plainmoor converting a decent 25 of those into goals. They have recorded a decent 52% shot ratio and 57% shot-on-target-ratio since the start of the season and will fancy their chances of beating Ebbsfleet. I saw the home side over the weekend at Wetherby Road and they were probably the worst side to visit Harrogate this season, and it was easy to see why they are down in 24th place. Seven visitors have scored 15 goals between them this season and Torquay should expect to get at least a couple of goals here, which would be enough to win the match in all likelihood.

Torquay are 6/4 to win this one with Bet Victor, and 9/2 to score 3 or more with Bet365. Both decent bets.

3pts Barrow to beat Boreham Wood at 11/10 (Hills)

1pt Eastleigh to beat Maidenhead at 1.98 (Marathon)

1pt Torquay to beat Ebbsfleet at 6/4 (Bet Victor)

1pt Torquay to Score 3+ at 9/2 (Bet365)

#Football