Dave Chisnall v Nathan Aspinall

These two have met six times before, and won three each, but there is no doubt Chizzy is the better of the two overall. It's the 180s where we tend to find the value in Chisnall matches though, and Marathon have made a huge rick in offering Chizzy at 6/5 to hit the most 180s in the match - our model makes this closer to a 4/6 or 8/11 shot, and it's a decent bet as a result.

It's true that our ratings tend to place Chizzy at a higher 180 per leg rate than most the bookies, but we're confident in the data and happy to steam into that 6/5.

We've got his expectancy in for 5.7 in the match, so the 4/5 with Corals on him hitting over 4.5 (so five more more) is too long as well.

4pts Chizzy to hit most 180s at 6/5 (Marathon)

2pt Chizzy Over 4.5 180s at 4/5 (Coral)

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