Kayserispor v Kasimpasa - Turkey

There has been early money for Kasimpasa in this one already, but we agree with it and reckon there could still be value in the away side here.

Since the start of the season, Kasimpasa have recorded a 105-93 shot count in their matches, and 39-35 on-target. Given they have already faced Tranzonspor, Galatasaray and Alanyaspor this season that has to be respected.

Opponents Kayserispor are yet to win this season, and the shot data certainly backs that record up and a reasonable reflection of their matches. A league low of 61 shots taken (the next worst are 71 and 80) suggests they are pretty toothless offensively, while they have allowed 125 shots against - only Ankaragucu have a worst defensive record in that regard. It's led to 14 goals conceded in just seven matches. With a 32% shot-ratio, they should be there for the taking, and Kasimpasa are surely value at 15/8 with Bet365.

2pts Kasimpasa to beat Kayserispor at 15/8 (Bet365)

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