Darts Stats Pick

The European Championships are in full swing, and Michael Smith v Stephen Bunting has chucked up a quick bet.

Bet365 are offering 11/4 on the "1st Set of Darts" score being 101+ in that match, and our data makes that well shorter than 2/1 if Smith throws first, and around 2/1 if Bunting wins the bull-off ahead of the match. 11/4 is a huge price for this.

In the de Zwaan v Wattimena match, they offer 15/8 on the first set producing a score of 90-100 (inclusive). If de Zwaan wins the bull off, we make it a 2/1 shot, while we'd have that at 6/4 is Wattimena threw first. On balance there is value in the selection.

In the de Zwaan match, we've got the 180s expectancy at around 4.03 for him, so Under 5.5 180s looks a great bet at 8/11 with Bet365 as well.

Chris Dobey faces Vincent van der Voort, and the Under 4.5 180s at 8/11 makes plenty of appeal there in that one - he averages just 0.237 180s per leg.

Bets:

2pts Smith v Bunting 1st Set of Darts 101+ @ 11/4 (Bet365)

1pt de Zwaan v Wattimena 1st Set of Darts 90-100 @ 2/1 (Bet365)

2.2pts Under 5.5 de Zwaan 180s at 8/11 (Bet365)

2.2pts Under 4.5 Dobey 180s at 8/11 (Bet365)

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