Rayo Vallecano v Cadiz (8pm)

Cadiz might be top of Segunda (La Liga 2), but I'm not entirely convinced they are as good at that makes them appear, so I'm keen to to get with a side who are performing well without getting their full reward for it, and are doing well at home.

Vallecano have achieved a divisional high 63% shot ratio over the season thus far, and 60% shot-on-target ratio, and they've landed those numbers in recent games as well suggesting they should be set to move on up the table from their current mid-table spot. With 12 points from seven home games, they are certainly capable on their own patch.

Cadiz have built their table topping form from solid home results as well - 6-1-0 so far, but they've also done well on the road. A season long 49% shot ratio and 52% shot-on-target ratio has tipped to 43% an 51%, and I'm certain a regression to the mean is due.

Vallecano's +42 corner count is a good indicator of their ability, and I can't be having them at 8/5 to win this one.

1pt Vallecano to beat Cadiz at 8/5 (General)

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